selected publications
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academic article
- Future nitrogen availability and its effect on carbon sequestration in Northern Eurasia.. Nat Commun. 10:3024. 2019
- Description and Evaluation of the MIT Earth System Model (MESM) 2018
- Toward a consistent modeling framework to assess multi-sectoral climate impacts.. Nat Commun. 9:660. 2018
- Northern Eurasia Future Initiative (NEFI): facing the challenges and pathways of global change in the twenty-first century 2017
- A review of and perspectives on global change modeling for Northern Eurasia. Environmental Research Letters. 12:083001-083001. 2017
- Importance of soil thermal regime in terrestrial ecosystem carbon dynamics in the circumpolar north. Global and Planetary Change. 142:28-40. 2016
- Protected areas' role in climate-change mitigation.. AMBIO. 45:133-145. 2016
- Influence of changes in wetland inundation extent on net fluxes of carbon dioxide and methane in northern high latitudes from 1993 to 2004. Environmental Research Letters. 10:095009-095009. 2015
- Evapotranspiration in Northern Eurasia: Impact of forcing uncertainties on terrestrial ecosystem model estimates. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 120:2647-2660. 2015
- Land carbon sequestration within the conterminous United States: Regional- and state-level analyses 2015
- Response of evapotranspiration and water availability to the changing climate in Northern Eurasia. Climatic Change. 126:413-427. 2014
- The impacts of recent permafrost thaw on land–atmosphere greenhouse gas exchange. Environmental Research Letters. 9:045005-045005. 2014
- Potential influence of climate-induced vegetation shifts on future land use and associated land carbon fluxes in Northern Eurasia. Environmental Research Letters. 9:035004-035004. 2014
- Insights and issues with simulating terrestrial DOC loading of Arctic river networks.. Ecological Applications. 23:1817-1836. 2013
- Permafrost degradation and methane: low risk of biogeochemical climate-warming feedback. Environmental Research Letters. 8:035014-035014. 2013
- Response of evapotranspiration and water availability to changing climate and land cover on the Mongolian Plateau during the 21st century. Global and Planetary Change. 108:85-99. 2013
- Long-Term Climate Change Commitment and Reversibility: An EMIC Intercomparison. Journal of Climate. 26:5782-5809. 2013
- Historical and idealized climate model experiments: an intercomparison of Earth system models of intermediate complexity. Climate of the Past. 9:1111-1140. 2013
- Climate impacts of a large-scale biofuels expansion. Geophysical Research Letters. 40:1624-1630. 2013
- A contemporary carbon balance for the Northeast region of the United States.. Environmental Science and Technology. 47:13230-13238. 2013
- Using land to mitigate climate change: hitting the target, recognizing the trade-offs.. Environmental Science and Technology. 46:5672-5679. 2012
- Analysis of climate policy targets under uncertainty. Climatic Change. 112:569-583. 2012
- Uncertainty analysis of vegetation distribution in the northern high latitudes during the 21st century with a dynamic vegetation model.. Ecol Evol. 2:593-614. 2012
- Rising methane emissions in response to climate change in Northern Eurasia during the 21st century. Environmental Research Letters. 6:045211-045211. 2011
- Is the northern high-latitude land-based CO2sink weakening?. Global Biogeochemical Cycles. 25:n/a-n/a. 2011
- Nitrogen effect on carbon-water coupling in forests, grasslands, and shrublands in the arid western United States 2011
- Historical carbon emissions and uptake from the agricultural frontier of the Brazilian Amazon.. Ecological Applications. 21:750-763. 2011
- China's terrestrial carbon balance: Contributions from multiple global change factors. Global Biogeochemical Cycles. 25:n/a-n/a. 2011
- Greenhouse gas emissions from alternative futures of deforestation and agricultural management in the southern Amazon.. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 107:19649-19654. 2010
- CORRIGENDUM. Journal of Climate. 23:2230-2231. 2010
- An analysis of the carbon balance of the Arctic Basin from 1997 to 2006. Tellus B. 62:455-474. 2010
- Indirect emissions from biofuels: how important?. Science Science. 326:1397-1399. 2009
- Nitrogen attenuation of terrestrial carbon cycle response to global environmental factors. Global Biogeochemical Cycles. 23:n/a-n/a. 2009
- Possible decline of the carbon sink in the Mongolian Plateau during the 21st century. Environmental Research Letters. 4:045023-045023. 2009
- Probabilistic Forecast for Twenty-First-Century Climate Based on Uncertainties in Emissions (Without Policy) and Climate Parameters. Journal of Climate. 22:5175-5204. 2009
- Twentieth-Century Droughts and Their Impacts on Terrestrial Carbon Cycling in China. Earth Interactions. 13:1-31. 2009
- Correction to “Importance of carbon-nitrogen interactions and ozone on ecosystem hydrology during the 21st century”. Journal of Geophysical Research. 114. 2009
- Vulnerability of carbon storage in North American boreal forests to wildfires during the 21st century. Global Change Biology. 15:1491-1510. 2009
- Importance of carbon-nitrogen interactions and ozone on ecosystem hydrology during the 21st century 2009
- Consequences of Considering Carbon–Nitrogen Interactions on the Feedbacks between Climate and the Terrestrial Carbon Cycle. Journal of Climate. 21:3776-3796. 2008
- Global economic effects of changes in crops, pasture, and forests due to changing climate, carbon dioxide, and ozone. Energy Policy. 35:5370-5383. 2007
- The role of historical fire disturbance in the carbon dynamics of the pan-boreal region: A process-based analysis 2007
- Net emissions of CH4 and CO2 in Alaska: implications for the region's greenhouse gas budget.. Ecological Applications. 17:203-212. 2007
- Biogeophysical effects of historical land cover changes simulated by six Earth system models of intermediate complexity. Climate Dynamics. 26:587-600. 2006
- Importance of recent shifts in soil thermal dynamics on growing season length, productivity, and carbon sequestration in terrestrial high-latitude ecosystems. Global Change Biology. 12:731-750. 2006
- CO2and CH4exchanges between land ecosystems and the atmosphere in northern high latitudes over the 21st century. Geophysical Research Letters. 33. 2006
- Future Effects of Ozone on Carbon Sequestration and Climate Change Policy Using a Global Biogeochemical Model. Climatic Change. 73:345-373. 2005
- Methane fluxes between terrestrial ecosystems and the atmosphere at northern high latitudes during the past century: A retrospective analysis with a process-based biogeochemistry model. Global Biogeochemical Cycles. 18:n/a-n/a. 2004
- Effects of ozone on net primary production and carbon sequestration in the conterminous United States using a biogeochemistry model. Tellus B. 56:230-248. 2004
- Below-ground process responses to elevated CO2 and temperature: a discussion of observations, measurement methods, and models. New Phytologist. 162:311-322. 2004
- Uncertainty Analysis of Climate Change and Policy Response. Climatic Change. 61:295-320. 2003
- Carbon cycling in extratropical terrestrial ecosystems of the Northern Hemisphere during the 20th century: a modeling analysis of the influences of soil thermal dynamics. Tellus B. 55:751-776. 2003
- Evaluation of terrestrial carbon cycle models with atmospheric CO2measurements: Results from transient simulations considering increasing CO2, climate, and land-use effects. Global Biogeochemical Cycles. 16. 2002
- A biogeochemistry-based dynamic vegetation model and its application along a moisture gradient in the continental United States. Journal of Vegetation Science. 13:369-382. 2002
- Historical and projected carbon balance of mature black spruce ecosystems across North America: the role of carbon-nitrogen interactions. Plant and Soil. 242:15-32. 2002
- MEASURING NET PRIMARY PRODUCTION IN FORESTS: CONCEPTS AND FIELD METHODS. Ecological Applications. 11:356-370. 2001
- NET PRIMARY PRODUCTION IN TROPICAL FORESTS: AN EVALUATION AND SYNTHESIS OF EXISTING FIELD DATA. Ecological Applications. 11:371-384. 2001
- Carbon balance of the terrestrial biosphere in the Twentieth Century: Analyses of CO2, climate and land use effects with four process-based ecosystem models. Global Biogeochemical Cycles. 15:183-206. 2001
- Modelling carbon responses of tundra ecosystems to historical and projected climate: a comparison of a plot- and a global-scale ecosystem model to identify process-based uncertainties.. Global Change Biology. 6:127-140. 2000
- Modelling carbon responses of tundra ecosystems to historical and projected climate: sensitivity of pan-Arctic carbon storage to temporal and spatial variation in climate. Global Change Biology. 6:141-159. 2000
- Climatic and biotic controls on annual carbon storage in Amazonian ecosystems. Global Ecology and Biogeography Letters. 9:315-335. 2000
- BELOWGROUND CONSEQUENCES OF VEGETATION CHANGE AND THEIR TREATMENT IN MODELS. Ecological Applications. 10:470-483. 2000
- Contribution of increasing CO2 and climate to carbon storage by ecosystems in the United States.. Science Science. 287:2004-2006. 2000
- Modeling the effects of snowpack on heterotrophic respiration across northern temperate and high latitude regions: Comparison with measurements of atmospheric carbon dioxide in high latitudes. Biogeochemistry Biogeochemistry. 48:91-114. 2000
- Sources of Variability in Net Primary Production Predictions at a Regional Scale: A Comparison Using PnET-II and TEM 4.0 in Northeastern US Forests. Ecosystems Ecosystems. 2:555-570. 1999
- Multi-gas assessment of the Kyoto Protocol. Nature Nature. 401:549-555. 1999
- Parameters for global ecosystem models. Nature Nature. 399:536-536. 1999
- A first-order analysis of the potential role of CO2 fertilization to affect the global carbon budget: a comparison of four terrestrial biosphere models. Tellus B. 51:343-366. 1999
- Comparing global models of terrestrial net primary productivity (NPP): comparison of NPP to climate and the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI). Global Change Biology. 5:25-34. 1999
- Comparing global models of terrestrial net primary productivity (NPP): global pattern and differentiation by major biomes. Global Change Biology. 5:16-24. 1999
- Comparing global models of terrestrial net primary productivity (NPP): importance of vegetation structure on seasonal NPP estimates. Global Change Biology. 5:35-45. 1999
- Comparing global models of terrestrial net primary productivity (NPP): overview and key results. Global Change Biology. 5:1-15. 1999
- The sensitivity of terrestrial carbon storage to historical climate variability and atmospheric CO2 in the United States. Tellus B. 51:414-452. 1999
- Integrated global system model for climate policy assessment: Feedbacks and sensitivity studies. Climatic Change. 41:469-546. 1999
- Effect of interannual climate variability on carbon storage in Amazonian ecosystems. Nature Nature. 396:664-667. 1998
- Transient climate change and net ecosystem production of the terrestrial biosphere. Global Biogeochemical Cycles. 12:345-360. 1998
- Modeled responses of terrestrial ecosystems to elevated atmospheric CO2: a comparison of simulations by the biogeochemistry models of the Vegetation/Ecosystem Modeling and Analysis Project (VEMAP).. Oecologia Oecologia. 114:389-404. 1998
- Evaluation of terrestrial carbon cycle models through simulations of the seasonal cycle of atmospheric CO2: First results of a model intercomparison study. Global Biogeochemical Cycles. 12:1-24. 1998
- Equilibrium responses of global net primary production and carbon storage to doubled atmospheric carbon dioxide: Sensitivity to changes in vegetation nitrogen concentration. Global Biogeochemical Cycles. 11:173-189. 1997
- CONTINENTAL SCALE VARIABILITY IN ECOSYSTEM PROCESSES: MODELS, DATA, AND THE ROLE OF DISTURBANCE. Ecological monographs. 67:251-271. 1997
- Linking a global terrestrial biogeochemical model and a 2-dimensional climate model: implications for the global carbon budget. Tellus B. 49:18-37. 1997
- TROPICAL DEFORESTATION AND THE GLOBAL CARBON BUDGET. Annual Review of Environment and Resources Annual Review of Energy and the Environment. 21:293-310. 1996
- The importance of climate and soils for estimates of net primary production: a sensitivity analysis with the terrestrial ecosystem model. Global Change Biology. 2:5-23. 1996
- Vegetation/Ecosystem Modeling and Analysis Project:Comparing biogeography and biogeochemistry models in a continental-scale study of terrestrial ecosystem responses to climate change and CO2doubling. Global Biogeochemical Cycles. 9:407-437. 1995
- Equilibrium Responses of Soil Carbon to Climate Change: Empirical and Process-Based Estimates. Journal of Biogeography. 22:785-785. 1995
- The VEMAP Integrated Database for Modelling United States Ecosystem/Vegetation Sensitivity to Climate Change. Journal of Biogeography. 22:857-857. 1995
- Predicting the effects of climate change on water yield and forest production in the northeastern United States. Climate Research. 5:207-222. 1995
- Soil Carbon Stocks of the Brazilian Amazon Basin. Soil Science Society of America Journal. 59:244-244. 1995
- Productivity response of climax temperate forests to elevated temperature and carbon dioxide: a north american comparison between two global models. Climatic Change. 24:287-310. 1993
- Global climate change and terrestrial net primary production. Nature Nature. 363:234-240. 1993
- Interactions between carbon and nitrogen dynamics in estimating net primary productivity for potential vegetation in North America. Global Biogeochemical Cycles. 6:101-124. 1992
- Potential Net Primary Productivity in South America: Application of a Global Model.. Ecological Applications. 1:399-429. 1991
- Aspects of spatial and temporal aggregation in estimating regional carbon dioxide fluxes from temperate forest soils. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 99:1303-1303.
- Emissions of N2O and CO2 from terra firme forests in Rondonia, Brazil. Ecological Applications.
- Food, Fuel, Forests, and the Pricing of Ecosystem Services. American Journal of Agricultural Economics.
- PRODUCTIVITY RESPONSE OF CLIMAX TEMPERATE FORESTS TO ELEVATED-TEMPERATURE AND CARBON-DIOXIDE - A NORTH-AMERICAN COMPARISON BETWEEN 2 GLOBAL-MODELS (VOL 24, PG 287, 1993). Climatic Change.
- Regional carbon dynamics in monsoon Asia and its implications for the global carbon cycle. Global and Planetary Change.
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conference paper
- Environmental variation, vegetation distribution, carbon dynamics and water/energy exchange at high latitudes. Journal of Vegetation Science. 301-314. 2002